Search Results for: backfire

Escalation by protestors can also backfire

See also https://victoriatbhui.wordpress.com/2014/11/23/unity-is-the-key-to-success-vs-failure/ I have been talking about government action, police violence, and thug violence backfiring on HK people. Protestors who advocate escalation should know that their action can equally backfire on HK people, alienating supporters of the Umbrella Movement … Continue reading

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Increased popular support for the Umbrella Movement–and beware of more backfire

This latest poll confirms what everyone has been saying, that the use of police violence has backfired, driving up support for the Occupy and Umbrella Movement when many people originally had misgivings about disruptive action. Meanwhile, the SCMP reports that … Continue reading

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More police and thug abuses — have they learned the lesson of backfire?

The shocking video of the police beating and kicking a protestor is surely to backfire yet again. It is surprising that the police still have not learned the lesson that violent repression would only backfire on Hong Kong people. It … Continue reading

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Backfire — Baptism of Fire

Scholars have long argued that repression could backfire rather than silence dissent. That is exactly what happened when the govt sent out the riot police and used pepper spray and tear gas on Sep. 28. In HK, people use the concept “baptism … Continue reading

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Fishball Violent Protest and the Call for Independence –Why Not “Forceful Nonviolence”?

[Updated on May 6, 2016 ] See also “We are all localists“ [for an abridged version, see Voice of Hong Kong ] Protestors threw bricks and glass bottles etc during clashes with the police on Feb. 8-9 (the first and … Continue reading

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The End of Fake Universal Franchise (For Now)

[Note: The veto may well represent the closing of the Umbrella chapter in HK’s 3-decade-old democracy movement. (See background.) Of course, the struggle for genuine universal suffrage will go on and we will continue to comment and blog on the latest developments. … Continue reading

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Final proposal sticks to Beijing’s rigid framework — and our analyses in the Journal of Democracy

[updated on June 1, 2015] [May 31] Beijing officials stand firm on 2017 poll and say strict framework for Hong Kong’s democratic reform will stay even if lawmakers reject plan Hong Kong government sticks to rigid Beijing framework in 2017 … Continue reading

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After occupy: Division by ideology and over tactics; polarization

[Updated on April 20, 2016] During the umbrella movement, “1.2 million people took part in Occupy protests, poll shows.” See also a cross-class movement. HK democrats/protestors are united over the goal of “genuine universal suffrage” but divided over strategies and tactics. While … Continue reading

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The fallacy that nonviolence has not worked–“we thought if we could keep the revolution peaceful, it might lead to some changes”

Original post: Can HK protestors continue to maintain nonviolent discipline? People who doubt the effectiveness of nonviolence are clearly unaware of failed violent movements around the world. Plenty of people study movement tactics and HK protestors should learn from such lessons. Not just “rowdies” … Continue reading

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Escalation by other means?

After an eventful night of direct confrontation, maybe protestors are ready to consider alternative methods of escalation? The HK Federation of Students and Scholarism called on supporters to surround the central government offices last night. I never agreed with Regina Ip but … Continue reading

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Hong Kong risks descending into a police state–and the “Shopping Revolution”

[Updated on Mar 2, 2016] See arrest by appointment. See police action after the Fishball protests. [June 7, 2016] Approval ratings of the police continue to decline 港大民研:警隊評分創四年新低 [May 31, 2016] See how decadent police and pro-establishment camp have become … Continue reading

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Unity and leadership are critical to success–why it is wrong to advocate “there are no organizers but only ordinary people, no orders but only commonsense”

[Updated on Mar. 20, 2015] See also “almost a revolution” ——- I am increasingly troubled by the challenges of what Patten calls “rowdies” to the movement’s mainstream. All over the world, unity is what makes or breaks a movement. Occupiers … Continue reading

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The “Freedom without Democracy” model is broken

[Relevant developments on the erosion of freedoms are regularly added. Scroll down. Last updated on June 20, 2017.] My updated submission  to the British Conservative Party Human Rights Commission [July 1, 2016 — written in April] Life Support For “One Country, Two … Continue reading

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What’s next — Umbrella Movement into the second month

Patten’s advice: Do not even break glass doors or windows; remember how you have won the world with your nonviolent discipline. Think about how to pursue the struggle through other means. Watch his testimony. Are occupy movements sustainable when we … Continue reading

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Sacking James Tien (plus sidelining Tsang Yok-sing and Li Ka-shing)? You risk alienating pro-regime allies

[Updated on Mar. 1, 2016] Original post: If I could advise CY Leung, I would tell him to drop the proposed sacking of James Tien. This advice is based on my knowledge of contentious politics. Upper classes and business elites in … Continue reading

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You can’t kill an idea — the giant banner “I want genuine universal suffrage” on the Lion Rock and the Chalk Girl

[Updated on May 16, 2016] In contentious politics, it is often argued that while you can kill leaders and followers and individuals, you can’t kill an idea. In Hong Kong, it seems that you can’t remove an idea: the demand … Continue reading

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Nonviolent discipline — the protesters were not peaceful?

See a more recent post “the fallacy that nonviolence has not worked?” See also police state and escalation. If there ever is a self-organized movement that can maintain absolutely nonviolent discipline in the face of police and thug violence, this is … Continue reading

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Targeted boycott and noncooperation — “If we withdraw now, we would lose everything that we have been fighting for”?

[updated on Feb. 8, 2016] —- After occupy: What could protestors have done to put pressure on the government? What could pro-democracy folks do now to sustain the movement without violating the law? The main non-cooperation act in the society is … Continue reading

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Why are Hong Kong’s young people protesting? Fighting for their future

[Updated on April 30, 2016] See grievances. [June 7, 2016] INTERVIEW: Hong Kong’s Joshua Wong Takes the Fight to Beijing [April 29, 2016] One in five young people pessimistic about HK future: survey ; [Sep 25, 2015]  Youth more pessimistic about Hong … Continue reading

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This blog aims to explain the Umbrella Movement. Victoria Hui examines the movement based on theories of the state and contentious politics. Michael Davis analyzes the movement from the perspective of constitutional law and human rights. Blog posts are organized by … Continue reading

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Interviews and Daily observations (Oct. 5 – Sep. 30)

Arise America: Hong Kong Protest Leaders Call for Retreat Ian Masters/NPR http://ianmasters.com/content/september-29-protests-grow-hong-kong-china-cracks-down-social-media-shadow-tiananmen-hangs-o Nikkei Victoria Hui, a political scientist at the University of Notre Dame in the U.S., suggested the protests partly stem from young people’s anger at decreasing social mobility … Continue reading

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